There are quite well-known aphorisms with regard to the difficulty of betting in general, so a beginner thinks that this is an exercise in Vanity. “You never see a bookie riding a bike” and “only dead certs are in the grave” were two of my grandfather’s favorite, while “it’s a cool game” is the one favored by disapproving relatives everywhere.
However, although it is very difficult to make a living by betting, it is not impossible… only very difficult. For those who do not seek a career of gambling though, have enough victory, that occasionally a little extra money and have some fun doing it should be well within reach (especially with our top horse racing). So read on for some pointers for picking the winners.
Study the Form
the cardHorse racing Race is blessed with a wealth of Statistics and information about past races that theoretically help in recognizing which horse is likely to win. Of course, the odds will usually reflect the most obvious indicators, but if you are willing to put in the time and look at a wide range of information that you just could have the advantage and find some value.
Some of the most important factors to look at are the horses recent performances (their final location in the previous races are marked with a series of numbers on the card, so the 1121 shows three wins and a second in the last four); the weight a horse carries as a handicap and how it compares with the previous races and the results (if it is a handicap race); class race; a form of coach; past performances over similar distances in similar conditions and past performance on a particular course.
Of course, the main factors that are the most popular in the course, both through the bookmakers original price, and also the market reaction to them. If you find a less known fact, perhaps, that even when the horse finished fifth last time he had a slight injury, or that the improved jumping from the last race, then you could be in a position to cash in. Bookies do not always know everything and doing as much research as possible, you can get all the important edges. Although it might sound like a 60s band. years, for the uninitiated, backing up Steamers at the right time can be a good way to profit. This tactic, also known as money tracking, relies on subsequent market action on the basis that they are an indicator of internal knowledge. Although this is not certain, it is much easier than pouring sheets of Statistics and coils of past races.
The logic is that if a horse goes from 18/1 down to 12/1, it could be that the owners, trainers, or just eagle-eyed punters have good reason to believe that it will win and have backed it heavily. If you get on fast enough, you can get some value at 12/1, before it gets backed up in some lower.
It resembles a purchase stock in the company, if a key principal or investor will do the same after he finds out some key information before the rest of the world does – though of course such insider trading does not go into the world of finance!
Following the market is by no means a crazy methodology, but often it will at least give you a decent bet on value. In case you are wondering what vagrants are, they are the opposite, a horse whose price increases. Again, the logic is not always correct and they can win … but I wouldn’t bet on it!
Tipster / Subscription Services
There are no end of websites offering betting tips for a monthly fee and claiming they have proven records. But ask yourself: if you had a winning betting tips that claim to guarantee a profit, you just bet on them, rather than share the information with others to earn money? Almost all of these services are doomed to failure in the long term, and the best you can get, is other peoples’ leftovers, that means tips, which have already backed at a higher price. In this case,you will get lower courses, and therefore, over time, lose.